After 12 'shocking' months of broken heat records, scientists say Earth is 4 years away from crossing 1.5 degrees of heating (2024)

U.N. Secretary General António Guterres called Wednesday for a “windfall” tax on profits of fossil fuel companies to help pay for the fight against global warming, decrying them as the “godfathers of climate chaos.”

Guterres took particular aim at the carbon-spewing industry and appealed to media and technology companies to stop taking advertising from its biggest players, as has been done in some places with Big Tobacco.

Guterres’ comments in a bare-knuckled speech timed for World Environment Day came as the European Commission’s climate watching agency reported that last month was the hottest May ever—marking the 12th straight monthly record high.

The European Union’s Copernicus climate change service, a global reference for tracking world temperatures, cited an average surface air temperature of 15.9 C (60.6 F) last month—or 1.52 C higher than the estimated May average before industrial times.

The burning of fossil fuels —oil, gas and coal—is the main contributor to global warming caused by human activity.

Meanwhile, the U.N. weather agency predicted an 80% chance that average global temperatures will surpass the 1.5 Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) target set in the landmark Paris climate accord of 2015.

The World Meteorological Organization, or WMO, said that the global mean near-surface temperature for each year from 2024 to 2028 is expected to range between 1.1 and 1.9 degrees Celsius hotter than at the start of the industrial era.

It also estimated that there’s nearly a one-in-two chance—47%—that the average global temperatures over that timeframe could top 1.5 C, an increase from just under a one-in-three chance projected for the 2023-2027 span.

Guterres spoke from the American Museum of Natural History in New York in a bid to revive focus on climate change at a time when many national elections, and conflict in places like Ukraine, Gaza and Sudan this year have seized much of the international spotlight.

He repeated concerns about subsidies paid out in many countries for fossil fuels, which help keep prices low for consumers.

“Climate change is the mother of all stealth taxes paid by everyday people and vulnerable countries and communities,” he said. “Meanwhile, the godfathers of climate chaos — the fossil fuel industry — rake in record profits and feast off trillions in taxpayer-funded subsidies.”

Guterres said that global emissions of carbon dioxide must fall 9% each year to 2030 for the 1.5 C-degree target under the Paris climate accords to be kept alive. But temperatures are “heading in the wrong direction,” he said: They rose 1 degree last year.

“We are playing Russian roulette with the planet. We need an exit ramp off the highway to climate hell,” Guterres said, while adding: “The truth is, we have control of the wheel.”

“This forecast is affirmation that the world has entered a climate where years that are as hot as 2023 should no longer be a surprise,” Noah Diffenbaugh, a professor at Stanford’s Doerr School of Sustainability, said in an email of the WMO forecast.

Guterres called on advanced economies in the Group of 20 countries — which are holding a summit in Brazil next month, and are responsible for about 80% of all emissions — to take the lead. He also said that the richest 1% of people on the planet emit as much as two-thirds of all humanity.

“We cannot accept a future where the rich are protected in air-conditioned bubbles, while the rest of humanity is lashed by lethal weather in unlivable lands,” Guterres said.

He appealed to “global finance,” alluding to banks and international financial institutions, to help contribute money, saying “innovative sources of funds” are needed.

“It’s time to put an effective price on carbon and tax the windfall profits of fossil fuel companies,” he said.

But Guterres said that all countries — and people — must join the fight, including the developing world, such as by ending deforestation and meeting targets to double energy efficiency and triple renewables by 2030.

Some critics say Guterres, which such alarmist speeches, puts too much a focus on stirring emotions than focusing on science that lays out the actual threat.

But U.N. officials and nongovernmental groups acknowledge that the secretary-general has little power beyond the “bully pulpit” — his perch at the head of the world body — to stir people, governments and business to change.

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After 12 'shocking' months of broken heat records, scientists say Earth is 4 years away from crossing 1.5 degrees of heating (2024)

FAQs

After 12 'shocking' months of broken heat records, scientists say Earth is 4 years away from crossing 1.5 degrees of heating? ›

After 12 'shocking' months of broken heat records, scientists say Earth is 4 years away from crossing 1.5 degrees of heating. UN Secretary General António Guterres

António Guterres
Incumbent. Amina J.

Mohammed of Nigeria was named as deputy secretary-general by then secretary-general-designate António Guterres.
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Deputy_Secretary-General_o...
called for new taxes on fossil fuel companies as global temperatures continue to soar.

How many degrees has the Earth changed in the last 100 years? ›

Global surface temperature has been measured since 1880 at a network of ground-based and ocean-based sites. Over the last century, the average surface temperature of the Earth has increased by about 1.0o F. The eleven warmest years this century have all occurred since 1980, with 1995 the warmest on record.

How much warmer has the earth become over the past 200 years? ›

According to an ongoing temperature analysis led by scientists at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), the average global temperature on Earth has increased by at least 1.1° Celsius (1.9° Fahrenheit) since 1880.

What has happened to the temperature of the Earth over the past 150 years? ›

Earth's temperature has risen by an average of 0.11° Fahrenheit (0.06° Celsius) per decade since 1850, or about 2° F in total. The rate of warming since 1982 is more than three times as fast: 0.36° F (0.20° C) per decade.

How much will the earth warm in the next 100 years? ›

Key global projections

Increases in average global temperatures are expected to be within the range of 0.5°F to 8.6°F by 2100, with a likely increase of at least 2.7°F for all scenarios except the one representing the most aggressive mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions.

Are we still in an ice age? ›

At least five major ice ages have occurred throughout Earth's history: the earliest was over 2 billion years ago, and the most recent one began approximately 3 million years ago and continues today (yes, we live in an ice age!).

How bad will climate change be in 2050? ›

Climate shifts like heat waves could restrict the ability of people to work outdoor, and, in extreme cases, put their lives at risk. Under a 2050 climate scenario developed by NASA, continuing growth of the greenhouse emission at today's rate could lead to additional global warming of about 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2050.

Has Earth ever been hotter than it is now? ›

Even after those first scorching millennia, however, the planet has often been much warmer than it is now. One of the warmest times was during the geologic period known as the Neoproterozoic, between 600 and 800 million years ago. Conditions were also frequently sweltering between 500 million and 250 million years ago.

How much will the Earth warm by 2050? ›

Since 1880, average global temperatures have increased by about 1 degrees Celsius (1.7° degrees Fahrenheit). Global temperature is projected to warm by about 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7° degrees Fahrenheit) by 2050 and 2-4 degrees Celsius (3.6-7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100.

What is the coldest it has ever been on Earth? ›

World: Lowest Temperature
Record Value-89.2°C (-128.6°F)
Formal WMO ReviewYes (2011)
Length of Record1912-present
InstrumentationMaximum/Minimum Thermometer in Standard Stevenson Screen
Geospatial LocationVostok, Antarctica [77°32'S, 106°40'E, elevation: 3420m (11,220ft)]
1 more row

Is it really hotter now than any time in 100,000 years? ›

The evidence suggests the long-term average temperature was probably no more than 1.5 C (2.7 F) above preindustrial levels – not much more than the current global warming level.

What was the hottest year on Earth? ›

Details. The year 2023 was the warmest year since global records began in 1850 at 1.18°C (2.12°F) above the 20th-century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F). This value is 0.15°C (0.27°F) more than the previous record set in 2016. The 10 warmest years in the 174-year record have all occurred during the last decade (2014–2023).

What was the warmest period in Earth's history? ›

One of the warmest times was during the geologic period known as the Neoproterozoic, between 600 and 800 million years ago. Another “warm age” is a period geologists call the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, which occurred about 56 million years ago.

What will life be like in 2100? ›

The world in 2100 will be hotter, with more extreme weather and more natural disasters such as hurricanes and wildfires. How much hotter? It is impossible to know right now, as it will depend on our actions during the next 80 years. There are different scenarios, from the world being 1.5ºC to 5ºC hotter by 2100.

What will happen to Earth 100 years from now? ›

Environmental Changes

In the next 100 years, we could see a significant decrease in the earth's resources, such as water and air. The oceans could become so polluted that they would be unusable, and the air could become so thick with smog that it would be difficult to breathe.

How bad will global warming be in 2030? ›

30 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, provides new evidence that global warming is on track to reach 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial averages in the early 2030s, regardless of how much greenhouse gas emissions rise or fall in the coming decade.

How much has the world changed in 100 years? ›

Incredible ways the world has changed in the past 100 years

It highlights that the life expectancy for a male born in 1915 was just 47, compared with 71 today. Heroin was sold in pharmacies, and the vast majority of Americans didn't graduate from high school.

How much has the temperature risen in the last 100 years in degrees? ›

According to a continuous study conducted by the NASA's Goddard institute, the Earth's average global temperature has risen by 0.8 degrees Celsius or 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit since 1880. Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, the thermometer readings have risen continuously.

How much has the Earth's temperature changed in the last 1000 years? ›

It is possible to estimate the actual temperature increases and decreases that occurred in the past one thousand years. The MWP was 1°C or 2°C warmer than the average temperature of the millennium. The LIA was 1°C or 2°C colder. The current warm era is about 0.75°C warmer and thus not warmer than the MWP.

Has the Earth ever been hotter than it is now? ›

Even after those first scorching millennia, however, the planet has often been much warmer than it is now. One of the warmest times was during the geologic period known as the Neoproterozoic, between 600 and 800 million years ago. Conditions were also frequently sweltering between 500 million and 250 million years ago.

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